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Author Topic: Why banks should be nationalised  (Read 733 times)
Lord Byron
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« Reply #15 on: 10:31:13, 20-10-2008 »

They removed regulation to find out why the regulation was there....
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richard barrett
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« Reply #16 on: 11:05:44, 20-10-2008 »

Quote from: John Lanchester
There will be more intrusive regulation, more proactive interference. There may even be (there should be) a new system to control the global flow of capital. That doesn't seem enough, but in the absence of another set of ideas about how the world should work

There is of course no such "absence". I've posted a couple of references to Marx in the past couple of weeks which I think show that, in contrast to the headless chickens of capitalism, he and Engels already 150 years ago were capable of predicting in some detail the kind of crisis that the system is now in. This would seem to indicate that their "set of ideas about how the world should work" ought to be accorded a certain amount of credibility by the normally intelligent Mr Lanchester.

It is interesting, however, that even some right-wing Tories favour public ownership of major clearing banks; it is perhaps somewhat less clear why they do so.

Because in the end that would put the profits in the hands of the same class.

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perfect wagnerite
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« Reply #17 on: 11:24:17, 20-10-2008 »

Quote from: richard barrett link=topic=3755.msg145950#msg145950
Because in the end that would put the profits in the hands of the same class.



Indeed; part-nationalisation will essentially protect the assets of the shareholders in the banks, who will trade off the diminution of control against the likelihood that nationalisation will protect the value of their investments.  They may also be factoring in the likelihood of getting a Tory government in the next couple of years; while New Labour is not really very likely to call bankers to account in any serious way, the Tory party is likely to offer a (from their perspective) a very benign regime indeed.

As Richard suggests, one of the most striking features of the current crisis is how closely it conforms to what Marx described nearly a century and a half ago - whatever one's views on the theoretical underpinning of Marx's economics (based as it is on a very orthodox view of the dynamics of markets), it's difficult to deny that his critique of market capitalism remains hugely prescient.
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At every one of these [classical] concerts in England you will find rows of weary people who are there, not because they really like classical music, but because they think they ought to like it. (Shaw, Don Juan in Hell)
SH
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« Reply #18 on: 11:29:24, 20-10-2008 »

There is of course no such "absence".

Richard

I read that as more a comment on the sorts of actions/reactions/moving the furniture around on the Titanic that are conceivable from/available to those with the power to enact anything. But I don't know John Lanchester's work, other than some journalism.

The certainty is that more of the same will follow with bits of regulation attached which will then be detached. And the attendant misery will be ours, the extras, not the dramatists and leading actors. As has been pointed out, unlike in 1929 THEY have hedged themselves against any consequences. A week before Lehman Brothers went the way of all filth the bonuses pot comfortably exceeded Lehman Brothers's market value.



« Last Edit: 18:11:49, 20-10-2008 by SH » Logged
Lord Byron
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« Reply #19 on: 11:37:27, 20-10-2008 »

yea, the bank managers robbed the bank !
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ahinton
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« Reply #20 on: 11:39:01, 20-10-2008 »

Quote from: John Lanchester
There will be more intrusive regulation, more proactive interference. There may even be (there should be) a new system to control the global flow of capital. That doesn't seem enough, but in the absence of another set of ideas about how the world should work

There is of course no such "absence". I've posted a couple of references to Marx in the past couple of weeks which I think show that, in contrast to the headless chickens of capitalism, he and Engels already 150 years ago were capable of predicting in some detail the kind of crisis that the system is now in. This would seem to indicate that their "set of ideas about how the world should work" ought to be accorded a certain amount of credibility by the normally intelligent Mr Lanchester.
No, indeed it isn't and couldn't possibly be anything like "enough" but then, in order to try to avoid putting the fuel-less cart before the ailing horse, "a new system to control the global flow of capital" would not only have to be signed up to in advance by every nation on earth (and the likelihood of North Korea, Liberia, Switzerland, Mongolia, Norway, Zimbabwe and Bolivia all doing that would seem at best remote) but there would first have to be universal international agreement on how much there actually is or should be to flow at any time and all times - and I've made no secret of the fact that I believe much of the current financial problems to stem rather less from banking failures and/or indiscretions than from governments of many apparently different political persuasions injecting ever more tranches of cash into that very global system without a care in the world about the fact that they have nothing of value with which to back them up.

As to Charlie and Freddie, I'm afraid that I have yet to be convinced that, however credible and foresighted their predictions, capitalism is by definition destined only ever to be run and promoted by headless chickens, even if it does seem largely to be so today. I have also yet to be convinced that there has been any other monetary system in use anywhere for centuries, even under socialist / communist rule, for it seems to me that, under such régimes, the only difference is in the application of capitalism and who controls what in the way on money (and, in regard to the latter, it is no secret that black-marketeering has often tended to flourish more effectively under such régimes than under other régime types); consequently, I am disinclined to risk falling into the trap of believing that capitalism is so flawed as to be untenable just because of the activities of certain people under its apparent aegis.
« Last Edit: 12:33:40, 20-10-2008 by ahinton » Logged
ahinton
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« Reply #21 on: 11:49:32, 20-10-2008 »

The certainty is that more of the same will follow with bits of regulation attached which will then be detached. And the attendant misery will be ours, the extras, not the dramatists and leading actors. As has been pointed out, unlike in 1929 THEY have hedged themselves against any consequences. A week before Lehman Brothers went the way of all filth the bonuses pot comfortably exceeded Lehman Brothers's assets.
The first part of what you write here is undoubtedly beyond argument, but as to the last bit I'm far less certain. Some of these people might indeed have deluded themselves that "they have hedged themselves against any [adverse] consequences" but if the general global situation worsens to the point at which actual currencies fail, they might then realise that all they've achieved is to draw themselves through a hedge backwards, for their bonuses and other assets will then be of dubious monetary worth; much the same fate is likely in such circumstances to befall those who, as always happens in serious bear markets, rush to invest in gold, other precious metals, works of art (not forgetting music manuscripts and stringed instruments) - none of these things will any longer retain appreciable monetary value if there is no longer a viable currency in which to value them. OK, the total collapse of the US dollar, British pound and Euro doesn't seem especially likely even in the present market turmoil, but I would think it rather rash to assume it to be an impossibility.
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HtoHe
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« Reply #22 on: 11:51:29, 20-10-2008 »

I am not for one moment suggesting that all banks have been run sensibly in the past, but the very fact that our infinitely greater dependency upon them nowadays was brought about in part by governments (as has already been observed) must surely tempt some people to question the wisdom of such governments coming to own such banks; .

Indeed, ah. But the interesting question is: which is worse, governments doing banking or bankers doing government?  I'm in a bit of a hurry so I apologise in advance for brevity, but it seems to me that the two functions (each in itself a facet of the capitalist system) have become entwined in a most unholy tangle in recent years.  I mentioned earlier that lay people can hardly be blamed for failing to understand the nuts & bolts of finance; but it seems that people who should know better came to believe that wealth could be created and managed merely by shuffling figures cleverly enough.  They are now learning that the 'wealth' so created is of a different order from 'sound money'.  I'm afraid I'm going to continue in my previous pessimistic vein and say that worse is probably to come.  Our betters still seem to think there will be some sort of fix involving cutting interest rates; and it seems to me you need only something approaching '11-plus' arithmetic to see that this can only represent a futher resort to funny money.  I suppose we can be thankful for small mercies - am I the only one who remembers Jack Straw and his plan to involve the banks as partners in one of the many incarnations of the national ID-card scheme?

At the same time, it's all very well people self-righteously declaring that others shouldn't borrow beyond their means because, whilst such a homily might seem sensible in theory, in practice many people would never be able to afford to purchase their own homes or set up their own businesses unless they did just that; even in a market with plummeting house prices, the former would still not be possible for most people, since salaries, employment prospects and business proft-making usually tend to fall in line with such house price reductions, so few if any can expect to be any better off.

Whilst my observations so far are seemingly pessimistic there is a level on which they offer a glimmer of hope.  As a revolutionary socialist I welcome the insight that recent events might offer into the fundamental inability of capitalism to serve the interests of the majority.  Even if we overlook the dreadful abject poverty that the global system visits on people less privileged than us there is surely enough local evidence to show the arbitrary and inequitable tendencies of the system.  Does anybody, for example, believe in a 'property-owning democracy' any more?  Remember this one - the one where those lucky enough to live in decent council houses were given a free gift at the expense of those living in jerry-built boxes that weren't worth owning (not to mention the future generations who would never get social housing as it had all been given to the property-owning democrats)?  Perhaps there were enough winners, and relatives of winners, from that little lottery to mask its essentially malign nature; but now we have the further phenomenon of one group of people benefiting from a housing bubble which threatens not only to prejudice the housing prospects of another group but to wipe out their savings into the bargain.

An anecdote by way of closing.  On my way to visit a sick relative I follow more or less the same route I took to school thirty-odd years ago.  In those days, and right up to last week, there was a tiny prefab on the dock road that served as premises for the local bookie - long since taken over by William Hill.  Last week I noticed it had closed - and 200 yards away, where iirc the bakers used to be, the same William Hill has opened a gleaming new shop three times the size of the one that closed.  Now it might be coincidence that one of the few industries that thrive in a slump is gambling; or it might not.  Revolution, anyone?
« Last Edit: 12:18:42, 20-10-2008 by HtoHe » Logged
Lord Byron
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« Reply #23 on: 11:54:46, 20-10-2008 »

Alas, the army is run by public school educated officers who are loyal to the establishment and they have a large amount of weapons, I am off to some mahler instead.

Stoic acceptance of the insanity anyone ?
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richard barrett
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« Reply #24 on: 11:59:39, 20-10-2008 »

Alistair:

By "headless chickens" I was referring to the way those "in charge" of the whole sorry business have been behaving in the last couple of weeks. Previously they did have heads, with greedy slavering beaks on them. Capitalism is so flawed as to be untenable. Normally it might not look that way to citizens of the rich part of the world, but it always does to those it reduces to poverty and starvation in the rest of the world. The boom-and-bust cycle has been a feature of it since its beginnings (as can be seen in the rest of the 1850 article I quoted from). Whether this is a "necessary evil" or a disastrous flaw depends on the angle you're viewing it from.

I don't think there's anywhere in Marx's writings (or those of any other socialist) where it's suggested that a rational planned economy is going to come about as a result of what you call "nations" (ie. ruling classes) signing up to a treaty which will render them non-existent, as you seem to be suggesting is the alternative to the current chaos!
« Last Edit: 12:02:02, 20-10-2008 by richard barrett » Logged
perfect wagnerite
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« Reply #25 on: 12:14:59, 20-10-2008 »

An anecdote by way of closing.  On my way to visit a sick relative I follow more or less the same route I took to school thirty-odd years ago.  In those days, and right up to last week, there was a tiny prefab on the dock road that served as premises for the local bookie - long since taken over by William Hill.  Last week I noticed it had closed - and 200 yards away, where iirc the bakers used to be, the same William Hill has opened a gleaming new shop three times the size of the one that closed.  Now it might be coincidence that one of the few industries that thrive in a slump is gambling; or it might not.  Revoluition, anyone?

There's more than anecdotal evidence that some people are turning to gambling:

http://www.theargus.co.uk/news/3751281.Sussex_credit_crisis_victims_turn_to_gambling/

These of course are people gambling with their own meagre cash, not extracting vast quanitities of commission for gambling with the assets of others.
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At every one of these [classical] concerts in England you will find rows of weary people who are there, not because they really like classical music, but because they think they ought to like it. (Shaw, Don Juan in Hell)
richard barrett
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« Reply #26 on: 12:19:29, 20-10-2008 »

As a revolutionary socialist I welcome the insight that recent events might offer into the fundamental inability of capitalism to serve the interests of the majority. 

Absolutely. But somehow things haven't yet got so bad that they can't be spun into a story about "the activities of certain people" which Alistair seems to have swallowed. It looks as if matters are going to have to get a good deal worse before this too fails.
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ahinton
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« Reply #27 on: 12:33:06, 20-10-2008 »

I am not for one moment suggesting that all banks have been run sensibly in the past, but the very fact that our infinitely greater dependency upon them nowadays was brought about in part by governments (as has already been observed) must surely tempt some people to question the wisdom of such governments coming to own such banks; .

Indeed, ah. But the interesting question is: which is worse, governments doing banking or bankers doing government?
That's abit like asking which is correct - eight plus eight IS fifteen or eight plus eight ARE fifteen (and it is probably not lost on you that either is infinitely more accurate than anything up with which most of the banks could of late have come!)...

it seems to me that the two functions (each in itself a facet of the capitalist system) have become entwined in a most unholy tangle in recent years.  I mentioned earlier that lay people can hardly be blamed for failing to understand the nuts & bolts of finance; but it seems that people who should know better came to believe that wealth could be created and managed merely by shuffling figures cleverly enough.  They are now learning that the 'wealth' so created is of a different order from 'sound money'.  I'm afraid I'm going to continue in my previous pessimistic vein and say that worse is probably to come.  Our betters still seem to think there will be some sort of fix involving cutting interest rates; and it seems to me you need only something approaching '11-plus' arithmetic to see that this can only represent a futher resort to funny money.  I suppose we can be thankful for small mercies - am I the only one who remembers Jack Straw and his plan to involve the banks as partners in one of the many incarnations of the national ID-card scheme?
Good points all, but governments themselves also include many who are little better than lay people when it comes to economics and finance - yet another reason why it seems folly in the extreme to expect governments to provide guaranteed universal financial panaceas merely by flexing muscles and assuming ownershiop of banks. Cutting interest rates is almost certainly a necessary measure as of right now, although that does not of itself an overall  solution make (far from it, in fact); it's hard to implement it when inflation is on the rise but, although this has been the case this year until recently, the desperate retail price competition and substantial falls in oil prices that we are now experiencing suggest that this trend is being reversed, possibly quite severaly, which should at least offer another glimmer of hope to all those suffering from the effects of the current crisis.

At the same time, it's all very well people self-righteously declaring that others shouldn't borrow beyond their means because, whilst such a homily might seem sensible in theory, in practice many people would never be able to afford to purchase their own homes or set up their own businesses unless they did just that; even in a market with plummeting house prices, the former would still not be possible for most people, since salaries, employment prospects and business proft-making usually tend to fall in line with such house price reductions, so few if any can expect to be any better off.

Whilst my observations so far are seemingly pessimistic there is a level on which they offer a glimmer of hope.  As a revolutionary socialist I welcome the insight that recent events might offer into the fundamental inability of capitalism to serve the interests of the majority.  Even if we overlook the dreadful abject poverty that the global system visits on people less privileged than us there is surely enough local evidence to show the arbitrary and inequitable tendencies of the system.  Does anybody, for example, believe in a 'property-owning democracy' any more?  Remember this one - the one where those lucky enough to live in decent council houses were given a free gift at the expense of those living in jerry-built boxes that weren't worth owning (not to mention the future generations who would never get social housing as it had all been given to the property-owning democrats)?  Perhaps there were enough winners, and relatives of winners, from that little lottery to mask its essentially malign nature; but now we have the further phenomenon of one group of people benefiting from a housing bubble which threatens not only to prejudice the housing prospects of another group but to wipe out their savings into the bargain.
[/quote]
It is an unalloyed pleaure to be able to exchange civilised thoughts and ideas on this kind of thing with a self-confessed revolutionary socialist when I am so far from being any such thing myself! Whatever the insights to which you refer and which have been usefully highlighted by Richard, I do not believe that capitalism is of necessity fundamentally incapable of serving the interests of the majority; there is no excuse for its abuse by anyone, of course and there can surely be no doubt that the present woes arise largely from such abuses of capitalism, so what those prophecies demonstrate to me is that the rincipal problem with capitalism is the extent to which it can be abused and the often dire and widespread consequences of such abuse. Charlie and Freddie lived in an age without the travel and electronic communication facilities to which we have become accustomed and without the global enmeshing of just about everything including financial issues; their predictions may have been largely accurate but I cannot help but question how useful they can be in practical terms in the present age. Margaret Thatcher's self-made cliché about capitalism being the turning of sixpence into a shilling may indeed be just that, but like some other clichés, it is not without its inherent validity; it is perhaps no wonder, therefore, that even some unrelenting fundamentalist capitalists harbour at least as much distrust of global banking systems and government interference in fiscal activity as some anti-capitalists do. In the meantime, perhaps we could give some consideration to a discussion of the remark ascribed to Warren Buffett and cited in yesterday's edition of The Sunday Times which seeks to counsel us to accept the advice to be fearful when others are being greedy and greedy when others are being fearful - given the spped of communication nowadays that's probably turned into another sixpence/shilling cliché already. There certainly are people who still believe at least in the property-owning part of a property-owning democracy; the difficulties in getting on the property ladder are, of course, obvious but that hasn't stopped most people from trying to get on it in UK (France has less entrenched a tradition of home ownership, but the French will suffer just as badly from what's going on and at least some of them may well blame the Brits and Yanks for visiting at least some of it on them).

An anecdote by way of closing.  On my way to visit a sick relative I follow more or less the same route I took to school thirty-odd years ago.  In those days, and right up to last week, there was a tiny prefab on the dock road that served as premises for the local bookie - long since taken over by William Hill.  Last week I noticed it had closed - and 200 yards away, where iirc the bakers used to be, the same William Hill has opened a gleaming new shop three times the size of the one that closed.  Now it might be coincidence that one of the few industries that thrive in a slump is gambling; or it might not.  Revoluition, anyone?
For "bakers" I at first read "bankers"! There's gambling and gambling; whilst I know the kind to which you refer here, I cannot help but regard my own life as a musician as one in which gambling of a somewhat different kind inevitably plays a substantial part. As to "come the revolution", the very fact that so many revolutions have come and gone about which we are now far better placed to read than was once the case and we still have inhabit and function in an inevitably ever-increasing boom-and-bust, plus-ça-chage-plus c'est la même chose demi-monde is surely ample evidence both that none is likely and that, were there to be one, it would make no long-term difference; sorry to sound cynical, but...
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ahinton
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« Reply #28 on: 13:00:14, 20-10-2008 »

Alistair:

By "headless chickens" I was referring to the way those "in charge" of the whole sorry business have been behaving in the last couple of weeks.
Of course you were - and I agree with you; it would indeed be almost impossible or anyone to disagree with you on that!

Previously they did have heads, with greedy slavering beaks on them. Capitalism is so flawed as to be untenable. Normally it might not look that way to citizens of the rich part of the world, but it always does to those it reduces to poverty and starvation in the rest of the world. The boom-and-bust cycle has been a feature of it since its beginnings (as can be seen in the rest of the 1850 article I quoted from). Whether this is a "necessary evil" or a disastrous flaw depends on the angle you're viewing it from.
Neatly expressed as always! Whilst I accept wholeheartedly that the way in which capitalism looks to the victims of its gross misapplication is bound to be fundamentally different to that way it looks to the better off, that to me serves only to illustrate that any system that has to be regarded in such different ways is either "so flawed as to be untenable" or the victim of gross sustained international abuse. One reason why I tend to the latter view is that many who believe in the validity of capitalism for the common good are quite rightly outspoken critics of its abuse and of the consequences of such abuse without which there might eventually have been some possibility of credibility in the communist Hugh MacDiarmid's answer "get rid of them!" to the question "what do you want to do about the world's poor?" (and widespread international genocide à la manière de Mao, Hitler and Stalin was clearly not what he had in mind). The boom-and-bust cycle is indeed a long-standing feature of capitalist function but I do not believe that it has to be so; it is undoubtedly far worse in both scale and frequency now than it was a century and more ago. With what would you seek to replace capitalism as a more universally viable economic and financial system?

I don't think there's anywhere in Marx's writings (or those of any other socialist) where it's suggested that a rational planned economy is going to come about as a result of what you call "nations" (ie. ruling classes) signing up to a treaty which will render them non-existent, as you seem to be suggesting is the alternative to the current chaos!
No, indeed - but then I'm not recommending this as a viable alternative to anything! All that I sought to do in this context was point out that such a sign-up would be a necessary prelude to the implementation of Lanchester's "new system to control the global flow of capital", were such a system ever to be invented and promulgated. I suppose that my prioritising of the individual over the "ruling classes" (horrid term for an often horrid thing) is one factor that arguably renders me something of an outsider to many of those of both socialist and non-socialist persuasion; for example, I am inclined to belive that capitalism would be obliged to function rather differently and perhaps also even be subject to less widescale abuse in a world where most of us were to benefit from such facilities as home-generated sustainable fuel sources and electric vehicles, thereby freeing ourselves to a large extent from victimisation at the interfering hands of oil giants and other vast corporations (including governments) - that's only one small example - a mere drop in the ocean, arguably - but a valid one nonetheless, I think and certainly one in which it is patently and painfully obvious that governments and other corporations have in the past colluded and indeed continue to collude in discouraging the possibility of this kind of individual independence.
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Lord Byron
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« Reply #29 on: 13:05:01, 20-10-2008 »

someone has to be in charge, and democracy produces rule of the mob, our current illusion of democracy serves the nation well
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