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Author Topic: how the other half crunches  (Read 5589 times)
HtoHe
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« Reply #240 on: 20:41:30, 16-09-2008 »

Isn't it interesting that the the investment banks, so tied to the neoliberal mantra of deregulation and low taxes, are the first to run screaming to government for help when their naked greed, sorry 'investment in the derivatives 'market'', is exposed for the racket that it is... Roll Eyes   

If only, ernani.  If they ran screaming they would at least be showing some measure of the humility that would be expected of most people in their situation.  It seems to me, though, their behaviour is more analagous to that of desperadoes who, when caught red-handed, grab the nearest innocent and/or helpless people around and say "if anything happens to me, they get it too" 
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Antheil
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« Reply #241 on: 20:42:34, 16-09-2008 »

Meanwhile the auction of Damian Hirst's artworks proceeds apace, with £9.6 million being paid for the shark in the tank, and an estimated total taking of £100 million.

http://news.bbc.co.uk/cbbcnews/hi/newsid_7610000/newsid_7618500/7618512.stm

If ever we needed proof that the world's going mad, this is surely it - or am I alone in finding it obscene that the money being paid out for these items is substantially from the very same organisations whose greed lies at the root of much of the trouble we're seeing now?

Oh and Posh and Becks and other people I know not about!  Oh Posh now says "having got me hair cropped I realised me nose is big"

Could have told you that <wry whistle emoticom>

Whole world gone crazy with Celebs.  Do you know and do you care who they are?

No, but Footballers Wives seem to keep the world turning whilst ordinary people suffer.
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Reality, sa molesworth 2, is so sordid it makes me shudder
Lord Byron
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« Reply #242 on: 20:45:10, 16-09-2008 »

The unemployed bankers will find employment with other banks, business is still out there, it is just that by going bust, a bank can wind down with the bad debts, new lending is still going on,someone has to do it, and going into banking is a risk the same as any profession.  Having studied economics, bankers know this.    Yes, you see them walking out with that cardboard box but they earn high salaries and walk past the homeless saying 'get a job' so you know, well, the world, and all that.

Life is full of risk,nobody can predict the true future, we just have to live with it.




I for one would not be surprised to find mr hirst's art fall in value, greatly, over the coming years.

But, as he would say 'ha ha, got the cash now, SUCKERS' lol
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Milly Jones
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« Reply #243 on: 20:59:18, 16-09-2008 »

I don't think all the unemployed bankers will find another job in banking.  There won't be like-for-like jobs for everyone of that many people.  I suppose they'll cream off the top best performers.  They should be ok in finding other employment but I think the vast majority will find themselves overboard.
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We pass this way but once.  This is not a rehearsal!
HtoHe
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« Reply #244 on: 21:07:44, 16-09-2008 »

The unemployed bankers will find employment with other banks,

Most encouraging, Lord B.  So the people who gambled away all our money will get re-employed...looking after our money!

Sorry, that was a bit simplistic and probably unfair to lots of decent people.  As it happens one half of the couple I stay with when I go to the Proms works for a major city bank.  She has told me some horror stories about her time with other firms where her queries about residual risk etc fell on deaf ears.  I'll also be eternally grateful to the IFA at Bradford & Bingley (then a building society) who warned me not to use a PEP as a vehicle when I was saving for my deposit on my current home.  The media were touting PEPS as a must-have but this woman told me they were far more appropriate for spare money and long-term investment and I didn't want to be the victim of falling share prices if I wanted to be sure of getting my deposit together.  There was nothing in it for her - but she was dead right; the cash TESSA/ISA was far more appropriate.  I'd hate to think of either of these people clearing their desks into a cardboard box; but, as your post hints, neither of them is likely to end up sleeping in it!
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Lord Byron
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« Reply #245 on: 21:30:41, 16-09-2008 »

Who knows, nobody knows, that is the point of the black swan book, nobody can predict the future, however, i do think the bank of england should have been demanding regulation and tighter lending in the past, to avoid this mess.

This is not the first time this kind of thing has gone on.

It appears to me that a cycle is evident, regulation comes in after a crash and then people want to boost growth so they reduce regulation which produces a boom and then a crash.

I read in the paper about an estate agent who got a job with a top agency, bought a new house at the top of the market, put his kids in private school and then lost his job and now says he wants a 'safe' job in future. 

I have met people who live on council estates and have a milk tokens for their kids, it seems rather odd to me, to watch relatively well off people complaining about the free market when it turns against them.

banks closing is just like the corner shop closing, the demand for goods remains and some staff will get job with the competition,others will not, nobody knows

http://www.fooledbyrandomness.com/
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Lord Byron
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« Reply #246 on: 21:36:47, 16-09-2008 »

people who begrudge others earning a lot might take into account that they may be keeping a lot of other people on it and that they might share their hard-earned "good fortune".

Yes but history clearly shows that, with a very few exceptions, they don't. As I say, it's not a question of begrudging certain things to others, it's one of a desire to see those things equally shared between all. Can there be any fundamental ethical justification for such inequality as we see around us?

"fundamental ethical justification "

darwin, ethics ?... what ethics ?, nature is red in tooth and claw
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Lord Byron
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« Reply #247 on: 21:49:03, 16-09-2008 »

Milly, I fear we are at such cross purposes it's impossible to go any further with this! What you call "business acumen" I would call intelligence directed to the end of accruing money for oneself (OK, and one's family, though I don't see at all how "the rest of society" is supposed to benefit) when that intelligence could be far better used doing something less destructive - in business there are always losers as well as winners, that's the way it's set up and I don't think appealing to "grey areas" gets away from that.

I don't assume that people ought to be rewarded for being clever as you seem to. Actually I see no fundamental reason why they should be.

under a free market system, the ability to get cash and invest it wisely is rewarded, this has no direct link to being smart, as taking risks, being ruthless etc. could be more important

Richard,according to tom, in his book 'how to be free', before, when the church dominated society, life was organised more along community lines and greed seen as bad, i am not completely sure on this but the scarcity of labour did mean it was well paid in cheap rents, land etc. etc.



you may find these links of interest...

http://www.philosophynow.org/

http://www.rbphilo.com/
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ahinton
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« Reply #248 on: 22:32:09, 16-09-2008 »

The problems we face are not inherent in capitalism itself but in its misapplication, mismanagement and other abuse

If that's the case, why does capitalism go through boom-and-bust convulsions as often as it does? If problems arising from "misapplication" and "mismanagement" are so endemic to it, saying they aren't "inherent" is no more than a fine semantic point, surely.
My answer to that, for what it may or may not be worth and however right or wrong it may be, is that it is that very misapplication, mismanagement and other abuse of the concept that brings about those boom-and-bust cycles to which I have myself referred and which are - as I'm sure we both agree - one of the major banes of the system; if that comes across as yet another tiresome "it ain't Christ, guv, it's them Goddam Christians" type of argument, then so be it, howsoever flawed it may seem...
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ahinton
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« Reply #249 on: 22:39:59, 16-09-2008 »

The problem is that some people who could once afford to educate and provide healthcare for their children privately from their own resources have increasingly found themselves having to borrow to do so and now they are finding that borrowing more difficult, just like everyone else who borrows. If even a quarter of those children in private education were suddenly to be transferred to the state education system because of the current financial woes, there would be chaos in that system as it would simply be unable to accommodate so vast an influx' much the same could be said of the healthcare situation. Moving to smaller houses or otherwise downsizing (i.e. by moving to similar-sized houses in cheaper areas) is all very well, but on a sufficiently large scale all this would achieve is buck the housing market trend and push up the prices of those cheaper homes (house prices being more affected by the supply and demand factor than any other factor) - indeed, some are already suggesting that this sector of the housing market would have been affected far worse than it has been were such downsizing not happening already. That said, however, it's not so easy as all that, since in the current housing market it is not necessarily possible, even for those willing to do so, to sell a house and downsize.


Everything you say here is (a) true and (b) evidence that market capitalism doesn't "work".
But Richard, I never said that it did "work", at least not in the kind of way that would incline anyone with any intelligence and sensitivity to want to hold it up as the only way to any kind of human salvation; that said, however, the reason why I think that it needs overhauling rather than destroying is that every other actual or potential economic system ever devised and/or implemented in practice in recent centuries has been wholly or to a substantial extent dependent and predicated upon some kind of application of capitalism, to the extent that all such systems have involved the creation, exchange, distribution, etc. of capital. I most certainly do not believe that the present ways are remotely acceptable, but I cannot imagine other than that any alternative system devised will almost inevitably have to involve some aspects of market capitalism unless it incorporates and maintains as a fundamental principle the total and permanently sustainable abolition of anything resembling what we understand as tradeable currency.
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ahinton
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« Reply #250 on: 22:42:58, 16-09-2008 »

Isn't it interesting that the the investment banks, so tied to the neoliberal mantra of deregulation and low taxes, are the first to run screaming to government for help when their naked greed, sorry 'investment in the derivatives 'market'', is exposed for the racket that it is... Roll Eyes   
Yes, indeed - and in that are they not so sickeningly akin to those very governments to whom they do so?!...
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ahinton
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« Reply #251 on: 22:46:13, 16-09-2008 »

capitalism works very well, but you get extremes, so we have intervention and state regulation, what has gone on this time is a lack of regulation and intervention to reduce a bubble in size so when it does burst, that is not so hard to take
I thought you were talking about the art market there.  My wouldn't it be funny if an art market crash caused a global recession  Grin
It probably would, but it usually happens just exactly the other way around, as worried capitalists successfully take refuge in the kinds of inflation in art prices that have traditionally accompanied stock market, property and other devaluations in difficult economic times like these; as someone once ruefully observed to me (whether or not with tongue in cheek I cannot say with certainty), I wouldn't dream of selling the Strad unless the FTSE drops below 3,000...
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ahinton
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« Reply #252 on: 22:49:23, 16-09-2008 »

I don't think all the unemployed bankers will find another job in banking.  There won't be like-for-like jobs for everyone of that many people.  I suppose they'll cream off the top best performers.  They should be ok in finding other employment but I think the vast majority will find themselves overboard.
Whatever the outcome may be for those in the financial services industry (not just bankers) who might lose their jobs, it has to be said that, whilst at present the general impression is one of banks potentially or actually going to the wall because of bad lending deals, it remains a fact that none of those banks would exist if they had not lent money - this is what they depend upon for their survival, just as depositors depend for part of theirs on lending their deposit monies to the banks...
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strinasacchi
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« Reply #253 on: 22:56:58, 16-09-2008 »

I'm sorry to return to a subject everyone was probably hoping had been exhausted, but I've been away and have only just caught up on this thread.

I'm very sorry to see Ian go (willingly or not) from this board.  I was never personally "insulted" by him, maybe I'd be writing something very different if I had, but I like to think I can be more measured than that.  Yes he could be offensive and off-putting, and he seemed to persist in attacking views - and people - simply because of who held them.  His writing could be obscure and lengthy or short and vicious.  It could get very upsetting and tedious.

But he was often able to introduce points of view no one had thought of previously.  Or he'd insist on greater rigour in our arguments - and has in the past explained that he did so with the best of intentions (although some personal issues with other members no doubt crept in at times).

I was always disappointed to see him resorting to attacks, or to accusations of attacks.  Yes he could be belligerent.  He seemed to delight in making people uncomfortable, at the very least.  But that's something I value, even if at times repelled by it.  He'd often resort to clichés about smug middle-class English complacency, but maybe he sometimes had a point.

And people always rose to his bait, and often responded with worse - or at least less circumlocutory - insults than he gave.  It was always an option to walk away, skim his posts rapidly (something I admit I often did with the longer ones), or skip them altogether.  You all knew a post from Ian was likely to be incendiary, or to cross a line where most of us would have hesitated.  Yet some people can never resist responding.

If he was a troll (and I'm not necessarily conceding that), some people here relished feeding him - perhaps in the hope of making this outcome inevitable.

Just one more thing - I'd like to make an observation in favour of the idea of the mods having different accounts when in their mod role.  I'm not quite sure what to make of Ollie's role in this, I think he probably handled it as well as anyone could.  But it would be useful for a person whom a moderator is supporting in an argument - and for the rest of us - to be able to distinguish if they are being supported in an "official" capacity or simply as a fellow-boarder.  I'm not going to trawl back through the thread to find it, but I seem to remember reading an aside from Baz about having a moderator's support.  I'm not sure if this was true at that point in the proceedings.  It seems to me, if there's an argument brewing, and a mod-poster supports party A over party B, it's understandably tempting for party A to believe "I have the mod's support so I'm going to persist."  The mods having separate accounts would clarify this potential ambiguity.  It also means a mod will have to be very clear in their own mind at what point in an argument they decide to weigh in "officially."


Back to your regularly scheduled programme.
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Baz
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« Reply #254 on: 23:20:51, 16-09-2008 »


... but I seem to remember reading an aside from Baz about having a moderator's support.


Well (and sorry for needing to re-trawl this point) the only time I mentioned "moderator support" was in a posting in which I asked for an apology, and speculated upon the various scenarios that might occur - one of which was to seek support from the moderators in receiving it (which never happened). There was never any confusion in my mind about when a person was writing as a "poster" and actions that the same person might separately make as a "moderator".

Baz
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